Deaths from alcohol use disorder surged during pandemic
Deaths involving alcohol use disorder increased dramatically during the pandemic. The study also found that young adults 25 to 44 years old experienced the steepest upward trend in alcohol use disorder mortality.

Investigators used predictive modeling to compare expected—also called projected—alcohol use disorder mortality rates to actual rates. They found that alcohol use disorder-related mortality rates increased among all ages and sexes during the pandemic. Investigators obtained de-identified mortality data for seven years—2012-2019—from a Centers for Disease Control and Prevention database that registers more than 99% of all deaths in the U.S. They then used predictive modeling to determine 2020 and 2021 projected mortality rates based on previous years' trends, and compared those with the rates that were actually observed.

Results include:
-In 2020, the observed alcohol use disorder-related deaths were about 25% higher than the projected rates.
-In 2021, the observed rates were about 22% higher than projected.
-The increase in predicted versus observed mortality was similar for both sexes—approximately 25% for women and men in 2020 versus 20% for women and 22% for men in 2021.
-Although the older adult group had the highest mortality rate throughout the study period, it was the younger group (ages 25-44 years) who suffered the greatest surge during the pandemic, which warrants public attention.