India may become worst-hit, record 2.87 lakh Covid cases dai
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The number of COVID-19 cases recorded per day in India may surge to 2.87 lakh by early 2021 if a vaccine or treatment isn’t developed soon, researchers from Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) warned in a recent study.

Key insights:

• Without a vaccine or treatment, over 24.9 crore cases and 18 lakh deaths may be reported globally by spring next year (March-May)

• Used a multi-country modified SEIR (Susceptible, Exposed, Infectious, Recovered) model to simultaneously estimate the transmission of COVID-19 in 84 countries.

• Although with nearly 3 million cases, the United States is currently the worst-affected by the pandemic in the world, the researchers have predicted that India will soon surpass it.

• Researchers claim that the actual number of cases is 12 times higher, and deaths 50 per cent higher than what has been reported. However, all nations still remain well below the level needed for herd immunity, the study states.

• Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) refers to the probability of death after contracting the virus. Average IFR to be 0.68 per cent but noted that it varies significantly across nations.

You may read the complete study at https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3635047

Source: https://indianexpress.com/article/india/india-daily-covid-coronavirus-cases-mit-study-6495853/
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Dr. S●●●●●m S●●●●y P●●●●●l
Dr. S●●●●●m S●●●●y P●●●●●l General Medicine
This is,beyond any query,the worst news I have come across for this decade.
Jul 10, 2020Like1